Documentation of occultation of 2UCAC 39956822 by (86) Aegle

The last positive occultation captured in North America in 2015 was the occultation of the star 2UCAC 39956822 by the asteroid (96) Aegle.  Overall, there were 8 observers who observed the event.  There were 7 positive observations and one miss observation.  Three of the positives were recorded by RECON team members, Chris Patrick, Steve Bock, and Tony George.  This blog will document the data contributed by the RECON members.

Here is the path map for the event.  You can see the path crosses through central Arizona and southern Nevada, where three RECON members are located.  Other observers in Arizona and central California were also able to observe the event.

Light Curve Analysis

All videos were uploaded via DropBox to an IOTA repository.  DropBox is a tool used by IOTA for capturing and exchanging video files.  Each of the video files were then analyzed by Tony George using Limovie.  Limovie is a tool for commonly used by IOTA for video light curve analysis.  Here are the three light curves that were captured by RECON members:

Chris Patrick

(96) Aegle 2015-12-30 Chris Patrick.ROTE.sqWave

Steve Bock

Aegle 20151229 Mt Potosi PSF TG.ROTE.blockint.detrended.sqWave

Tony George

(96) Aegle 2015-12-30.ROTE.detrended.sqWave

These three light curves have some interesting characteristics that should be noted.

The Chris Patrick light curve is very erratic and during the event, a very flat and uniform bottom.  These are characteristics of the camera settings, which did not match the standard RECON guidelines.  Whenever observing asteroidal occultations, RECON guidelines should be used for camera settings unless otherwise directed by the campaign organizer.

The Steve Bock light curve looks very ‘skimpy’.  Again, this is the result of camera settings, most significantly, the degree of sense-up that was set.  Steve used a sense-up of 64x.  This integrates 32 frames which means that each block of 32 video frames looks essentially the same.  Integration also cuts down on the amount of variation between individual frames and blocks of integrated frames. A sense-up of 64x is a common RECON guideline for TNO occultation observations, however it may be too much integration for use in brighter asteroid occultations.

When compared to Tony George’s light curve, you can see the degree to which a high sense-up can affect the look of the light curve.  Tony used a sense-up of 2x.  This integrates two video fields into one frame, so there are 30 frames per second that are all independent of adjacent frames.

While Tony’s light curve might not look good, it actually is the best of the three light curves for determining the correct D (disappearance) and R (reappearance) times from the video.  That is because integration (sense-up) averages the video data and the D or R might occur somewhere within the integration block and the actual time must be estimated from the brightness value of the block of frames.  With Tony’s video, the times can be derived to times less than 1-frame accuracy.

Occultation Disappearance and Reapperance Analysis

Once each video file was analyzed in Limovie, a data file is created in a comma separated variable format (csv).  That csv file can be analyzed by different software applications to search for hard-to-find occultations, however this occultation was easy to see.  The software programs can also be used on easy-to-see occultations, particularly those with video integration, so that more accurate estimates of the D and R times can be derived.  Tony George used the program R-OTE (R-code Occultation Timing Extractor) to analyze all three light curves.  The D and R times were determined and provided to the observers so they could send in their reports on a standard Excel spreadsheet provided by IOTA.  For those that have OccultWatcher on their computers, the Excel form is easily available through a reporting app in OccultWatcher.

Asteroid Profile Analysis

Once the various observation D and R times are sent to IOTA  for analysis, a powerful program called Occult4 is used to combine the times and geographic coordinates to determine the size and shape of the asteroid.  For each observer, a chord across the earth is developed indicating where and when the star was visible.  Where the star disappears, there is a gap in the chord equivalent to the length of time of the disappearance.  When multiple chords are combined, the gaps in the chords trace out the size and shape of the asteroid.  Here is the profile developed for the (96) Aegle event:

20151230_AegleProfileUpdated

Note:  Click on the above image to get a high-resolution view of the plot

The chords of observations by the various observers are shown in different colors.  The chords of the three RECON observers are Chord 1: Chris Patrick; Chord 2: Steve Bock; and, Chord 5: Tony George.  You can see from this plot the rough outline of the size and shape of the asteroid.  Superimposed on the plot of the chords is the ellipse of best fit to the openings in the chords.  The size of the asteroid as determined by this analysis is and ellipse with major axis of 169.6 km and minor axis of 163.0 km.  This is one of the best observations ever obtained of the asteroid (96) Aegle.  While this is only one snapshot of the asteroid on the date of the observation, future observations can determine the size and shape from other perspectives and hence the volume and density of the asteroid can also be determined from amateur astronomer observations.  This type of data is very helpful to astronomers and space scientists as they continue to characterize the main belt asteroids and try and made decisions on asteroids to visit on future space flights.

RECON Observations Were Critical to Getting Size and Shape of (96) Aegle

The determination of the size and shape of an asteroid by occultations requires a good spread of observers across the path.  In the case of the (96) Aegle event, the two Chords collected by RECON members Chris Patrick and Steve Bock were critical in setting the northern limb of the asteroid.  Without those two chords, the true size and shape of (96) Aegle could not be determined from the other chords.  This shows that occultation astronomy is a team sport.  It takes a variety of observations to get the size and shape of an asteroid.

Opportunity to Participate in Future Main Belt Asteroid Events

While not a focus of the RECON project, RECON members can participate in the observation of main belt asteroids to sharpen their skill in doing occultations.  The probability of getting a positive with a main belt asteroid event is higher for those within the path, since the orbits of main belt asteroids are better known than TNO’s.  In the future, Tony George will be sending out alerts for main belt asteroid occultations predicted to cross the observing sites of RECON members.  Typically, for a large main belt asteroid, the path may go over 3 or 4 RECON observers in the network.  Watch for postings of favorable main belt asteroid events on the tnorecon email list.  With luck, we will see your groups chord on a future profile plot.

 

Prepping for 03WL7

Below is a calendar of events as RECON preps for our first campaign event of 2016!

Monday 1/11, 3-4PM PST / 4-5PM MST:
Optional videoconference for Southern RECON Teams (and any other teams)

Tuesday 1/12, 4-5PM PST / 5-6PM MST:
Optional videoconference for Central RECON Teams (and any other teams)

Wednesday 1/13, 4-5PM PST / 5-6PM MST:
Optional videoconference for Northern RECON Teams (and any other teams)

By Friday 1/15:
Complete Pre-Event Confirmation Form and upload Video of Camera Settings. This includes an important change to the VirtualDub configuration for all sites.

Sunday 1/17, 4-8PM PST:
John will be at the Oregon Observatory RECON Meetup with team members from Gilchrist, Sunriver, Bend, Sisters, Redmond, and Madras/Culver.

Monday 1/18, 4-8PM PST:
John will be at Paisley School RECON Meetup with team members from North Lake, Paisley, Lakeview, and Cedarville.

EVENING OF TUESDAY 1/19: 03WL7 Campaign Event 
Centaur 03WL7 will be occulting on Tuesday evening January 19 (2016 January 20 around 03:36 UT).  Check out the 03WL7 Event Page with pre-event checklist and a new procedure for taking science, flat field, and dark field videos. Below is the current prediction for 03WL7, which has a 1-sigma cross-track uncertainty of 810 km.

03WL7 Shadow Prediction with 810 km cross-track uncertainty

03WL7 Shadow Prediction with 810 km cross-track uncertainty

RECON Double Header

Just four days after our occultation campaign involving 13WV107, our RECON teams will be out again this Friday evening / Saturday morning to record another Centaur. This time around, we are using astrometry data provided by collaborators in Brazil from the RIO Group to measure an object known as Bienor. The event will be pushing the limits of the RECON network because the target star is magnitude 16, just at the detection threshold for many of our cameras. Our team members will be paying close attention to obtaining the sharpest focus possible using the following Focusing Tips.

We just received an updated prediction map for this event from the RIO group, placing the shadow path over Northern California / Southern Oregon, although all telescope data is important, as always, for both capturing the main target and studying its neighborhood.

Updated path prediction as of December 3

Updated path prediction as of December 3

During this event, we will also be joined by several other occultation astronomers from the North American International Occultation Timing Association (IOTA). The map below shows a portion of the telescope sites that will be participating in the event.

OccultWatcher Map for Bienor event

OccultWatcher Map for Bienor event

Unfortunately, sky conditions are not looking so good in Oregon and Washington due to a storm front moving in, but we will do our best regardless.  Thanks again to all of our RECON teams and our RIO and IOTA collaborators.

Predicted sky conditions for Friday evening

Predicted sky conditions for Friday evening

Focusing in on 13WV107

Predicted temperature map around event time

Predicted sky coverage around event time

Predicted temperature map around event time

Predicted temperature map around event time

This Monday evening/Tuesday morning around midnight (1 December UT), over 50 intrepid RECON teams will brave the cold, but hopefully clear, winter skies to collect data during our upcoming occultation campaign involving 13WV107. What do we know about this object? What do we hope to find out? A brief overview is provided below to provide context for data summarized on the Event Detail Page for 13WV107.

What we hope to discover through tomorrow night’s campaign is the actual size and surface brightness of 13WV107! The Centaur will be occulting a star north of Orion and will cast a shadow on Earth’s surface proportional to its size. This will affect the number of RECON telescope sites that will measure the shadow and the duration of how long the occultation occurs at each site. In addition, if 13WV107 has any rings or moons, these will also cast a shadow that could be discovered by RECON.

We know the orbit for 2013 WV107. The object was discovered on November 21, 2013. (This information is encoded in the name of the object – check out the Minor Planet Center for details on how the code works!) The object is a Centaur, a minor planet with its average distance from the Sun (or semi-major axis) located in the region of the outer giant planets. In this case, the semi-major axis of 13WV107 is 14.75 Astronomical Units (AU), between the orbits of Saturn and Uranus. At this point in its orbit, 13WV107 is currently located 11.7 AU from the Sun and 10.7 AU from Earth. Additional details on the orbit of this object are available by entering “2013 WV107” into the search field of the JPL Small-Body Database Browser.

Orbit diagram for 2013 WV107

Orbit diagram for 2013 WV107

We also know how bright it appears. In addition to its orbit, the other key piece of data we know about 13WV107 is that it has an absolute magnitude of 10.1. Absolute magnitude (H) is how bright the object appear if it was fully illuminated and located just 1AU from Earth (with Earth between the object and the Sun). Because 13WV107 is much further than 1AU, it appears even dimmer than this to us here on Earth. The apparent magnitude for this object is currently around 20.8 (note that the dimmer an object, the larger its magnitude).

13WV107 is far to dim to be seen directly with our RECON telescopes. However, the target star that the object will be occulting has an apparent magnitude of 15.6, which is near the limiting brightness we can detect. Because the target star is dim, obtaining a sharply focused image will be extra important and we encourage our RECON teams to check out a newly created page with Tips on Focusing.

What we don’t know are the dimensions and reflectivity of 13WV107. While we know the object’s orbit and absolute magnitude, we don’t know either its albedo (or how reflective its surface is) or actual size and dimensions. Consider two objects with the same absolute magnitude but different albedos. The darker, lower albedo object would have to be larger than the brighter, higher albedo object in order to appear the same brightness from 1AU. Given it’s brightness, we have calculated that 13WV107 has an albedo of only 5% (meaning that it absorbs 95% of incoming sunlight) if it has a diameter of 58 km. On the other hand, if it is actually smaller than this, then its surface has to be more reflective. If 13WV107 is 24 km in diameter, this would require a 30% albedo. During the upcoming event, we hope to directly measure the actual dimensions of 13WV107, which will provide us with a better understanding of its albedo. Neither of these quantities is known definitely up to this point, which brings us to tomorrow night . . .

Predicted path for 2013 WV107. Note that 1-sigma cross-track uncertainty is 963 km.

Predicted path for 2013 WV107. Note that 1-sigma cross-track uncertainty is 963 km.

Where will the shadow pass over RECON? Our current prediction places the shadow path for 13WV107 over the southern part of the network. However, because the object has been monitored for only a fraction of its almost 60 year orbit around the Sun, there is uncertainty in knowing exactly where its shadow will land. In this case, there is a 68% chance (1-sigma uncertainty) that the shadow will pass somewhere within 963 km of the prediction shown here. Thus, RECON sites from Yuma Arizona all the way up to Susanville California are within this 1-sigma cross-track uncertainty range. There is a lower, but non-zero probability for sites north of this to measure the occultation as well, and more importantly these sites are in prime position to determine if there are any other objects (moons, rings, etc) in the neighborhood of 13WV107.

The upcoming week will be busy but important for our RECON teams. In addition to tomorrow night’s event, we have a second campaign on Friday night/Saturday morning (December 5 UT). For a preview, check out our Event Page for Bienor. With these final events of the 2015 calendar year, RECON will have successfully conducted four campaigns since the network became operational back in May. This is on target with our proposed goal of attempting 6-8 campaigns per year. Thanks again to all of our RECON teams for your determination and perseverance in the coming nights.

Nemesis in the North

At a very civilized hour Friday evening November 1, 2013, the asteroid (128) Nemesis is predicted to occult 2UCAC 30123334 (Sat. 2 Nov. 4:01 UT).  In Plumas County (Quincy, Greenville, and Portola) we are planning to use it as a warm-up for Iduna a week later.  We are near the southern edge pf the predicted shadow path so this event also presents an opportunity for the RECON communities to our north.OW-NemesisMap

The magnitude of the star is actually less than that of the asteroid so the light curve will be shallow.  Full details of the occultation are online at
www.asteroidoccultation.com/2013_11/1102_128_30282.htm
The field is mildly challenging because it is relatively sparse and faint.  Nemesis field